Energy Transition, AI, and Geopolitics

The Resource Curse in Real-Time: Iraq’s Flaring Crisis and the Iran Dependency

By Ken Silverstein • April 7, 2026 • Filed in: Energy

Baghdad Iraq city skyline with palm trees at sunset or twilight, AI generated

By Ken Silverstein

Iraq is currently a study in geopolitical irony. It holds the world’s fifth-largest proven oil reserves, yet it cannot reliably keep the lights on in Baghdad or fully pay its government workers.

As I explored in my latest column for Forbes, the “resource curse” is no longer just an academic theory—it is a daily reality for OPEC’s No. 2 producer.

The Infrastructure Paradox The math of Iraq’s energy sector is staggering:

  • The Waste: Iraq flares enough natural gas to power millions of homes.

  • The Cost: Because it doesn’t capture that gas, it spends billions of dollars importing electricity and fuel from Iran.

  • The Risk: With the regional conflict intensifying and the Strait of Hormuz under pressure, this dependency has shifted from a financial burden to a dire national security vulnerability.

Why This Matters for the Global South This isn’t just an Iraqi problem; it’s a blueprint for what happens when infrastructure investment fails to keep pace with resource extraction. While the world discusses the “energy transition,” nations like Iraq are still struggling with the foundational step: basic resource sovereignty.

Modernizing Iraq’s infrastructure to capture its own flared gas wouldn’t just stabilize its grid—it would decouple its national security from Iranian volatility. Until then, one of the world’s largest oil powers remains a prisoner to its own wasted potential.

This Iraqi dilemma is a microcosm of a larger trend across the Global South: the “Infrastructure Gap” that prevents resource-rich nations from achieving true energy independence. While Western headlines focus on the high-level shifts of the energy transition, many developing economies are still struggling to secure the foundational ability to manage their own raw materials. In my recent travels covering these trade corridors, from the Panama Canal to the Gulf, the theme remains constant: power belongs to those who control the transit and processing, not just the extraction. Until Iraq closes this loop by investing in domestic capture and distribution, it remains a tethered giant in an increasingly volatile global market.

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  • Recipient of the ASBPE Gold Award for Outstanding Web Commentary and the MIN Online “Most Intriguing People in Media” honor. Senior Contributor at Forbes with nearly 30 years of energy and climate reporting experience.