Energy Transition, AI, and Geopolitics
Silverstein Editorial

The New Energy Map: Why Central Asia is China’s Strategic Insurance Policy

Central Asia

While global markets panic over the Strait of Hormuz, a quiet tectonic shift is occurring in the heart of Eurasia. Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan are no longer just “former Soviet republics”—they are the pillars of a new energy corridor that bypasses both Western sanctions and Middle Eastern volatility.

The End of the Russian Monopoly

For decades, Moscow held the keys to Central Asian exports. Today, that leverage is evaporating. Between Ukrainian drone strikes on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium and the pull of Chinese financing, the “exit routes” for oil and gas are shifting East.

Beijing’s Long Game

China didn’t wait for a crisis to act. By financing pipelines like the Central Asia-China gas line as early as 2006, Beijing created a structural dependency that the West is now struggling to match. This isn’t just about supply; it’s about who builds the infrastructure that defines the next decade of global energy security.
READ HERE

The Resource Curse in Real-Time: Iraq’s Flaring Crisis and the Iran Dependency

Baghdad Iraq city skyline with palm trees at sunset or twilight, AI generated

By Ken Silverstein

Iraq is currently a study in geopolitical irony. It holds the world’s fifth-largest proven oil reserves, yet it cannot reliably keep the lights on in Baghdad or fully pay its government workers.

As I explored in my latest column for Forbes, the “resource curse” is no longer just an academic theory—it is a daily reality for OPEC’s No. 2 producer.

The Infrastructure Paradox The math of Iraq’s energy sector is staggering:

  • The Waste: Iraq flares enough natural gas to power millions of homes.

  • The Cost: Because it doesn’t capture that gas, it spends billions of dollars importing electricity and fuel from Iran.

  • The Risk: With the regional conflict intensifying and the Strait of Hormuz under pressure, this dependency has shifted from a financial burden to a dire national security vulnerability.

Why This Matters for the Global South This isn’t just an Iraqi problem; it’s a blueprint for what happens when infrastructure investment fails to keep pace with resource extraction. While the world discusses the “energy transition,” nations like Iraq are still struggling with the foundational step: basic resource sovereignty.

Modernizing Iraq’s infrastructure to capture its own flared gas wouldn’t just stabilize its grid—it would decouple its national security from Iranian volatility. Until then, one of the world’s largest oil powers remains a prisoner to its own wasted potential.

This Iraqi dilemma is a microcosm of a larger trend across the Global South: the “Infrastructure Gap” that prevents resource-rich nations from achieving true energy independence. While Western headlines focus on the high-level shifts of the energy transition, many developing economies are still struggling to secure the foundational ability to manage their own raw materials. In my recent travels covering these trade corridors, from the Panama Canal to the Gulf, the theme remains constant: power belongs to those who control the transit and processing, not just the extraction. Until Iraq closes this loop by investing in domestic capture and distribution, it remains a tethered giant in an increasingly volatile global market.

The Iran War and the End of Fossil Fuel Leverage

Middle East oil transit chokepoints map Hormuz Strait energy security, AI generated


The conflict in the Middle East has moved the energy conversation beyond carbon footprints and climate targets. It is now a matter of national security.

In my latest for Forbes, I explore why the war in Iran is the ultimate signal to accelerate the clean energy transition. While fossil fuels remain vulnerable to maritime chokepoints and geopolitical leverage, renewable infrastructure offers a path to permanent energy resilience.

As Francesco La Camera of IRENA noted in our discussion, renewables are the “best insurance policy” against the price shocks currently rattling global markets. It isn’t just about emissions anymore—it’s about breaking the cycle of energy weaponization.

Read the full analysis at Forbes

Also trending on Yahoo Finance and Energy News Today.

The Infrastructure Contest That Will Decide Global Power

Panama Canal Gatun Locks massive container ships infrastructure power, AI generated

While reporting from the Panama Canal recently, I watched massive container ships navigate the Gatun Locks—a century-old testament to American engineering and global influence. But standing there, it became clear that the geopolitical contest of this century has shifted. It’s no longer just about military might or political ideology; it’s about “connectography”—who builds the ports, power grids, and trade corridors that knit the world together.

While the U.S. has recently pulled back on global development programs, other powers are stepping in to fill the gap, essentially redrawing the map of global influence through infrastructure diplomacy.

Read the full syndicated column at InsideSources: The Infrastructure Contest That Will Decide Global Power

The Invisible Cost of AI: Why Data Centers are Straining America’s Water Supply

massive data center exterior with cooling towers and water infrastructure, AI generated

The AI revolution is colliding with a finite physical reality: water.

In my latest piece, I look at the ‘unplanned’ water problem facing the AI boom. With companies like Microsoft and Google racing to scale, the strain on municipal water supplies is becoming a primary regulatory and operational hurdle.

The Data-Water Nexus: A New Infrastructure Priority

How should we prioritize industrial cooling vs. residential supply in water-stressed regions? It’s a conversation that needs to happen at the planning level today.

The strategic vulnerability here isn’t just about environmental footprints; it’s about the physical limits of the digital frontier. While we have spent decades building regional power grids, our water infrastructure remains hyper-local. When a hyperscale data center requires 300,000 gallons of water per day, it isn’t just a tech project—it becomes a competitor for a town’s most vital resource. As I noted in my coverage for Forbes, the solution isn’t fewer data centers, but a shift toward regional planning that treats water as a primary constraint rather than a utility afterthought.

This mirrors the volatility we are seeing in global natural gas markets, where supply disruptions are increasingly tied to infrastructure vulnerabilities rather than to fuel availability alone.

The Forbes story

  • Recipient of the ASBPE Gold Award for Outstanding Web Commentary and the MIN Online “Most Intriguing People in Media” honor. Senior Contributor at Forbes with nearly 30 years of energy and climate reporting experience.